What Does MARA: Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. do?

MD: Here’s the Wikipedia article on the company.

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset technology company, which engages in mining cryptocurrencies, with a focus on the blockchain ecosystem and the generation of digital assets. The company was founded on February 23, 2010 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, NV.[1]

MD: So… we know they ‘re clueless about money. And located in Las Vegas, NV… maybe know something about gambling… which is what Bitcoin is… betting on the sure thing until the music stops.

The company was formerly known as Marathon Patent Group and was the patent holding company that is the parent of Uniloc, allegedly a patent troll company.[2][3] Marathon purchased patents related to encryption in the 2010s[citation needed] and in 2021 it was known for its purchases of bitcoin[4] and bitcoin mining equipment[5] and a joint venture to use 37 MW from the Hardin Generating Station Montana coal plant to power an adjacently-constructed Marathon bitcoin data center.[6]

MD: So they’re leveraging leverage. A “patent holding company”. What’s not to love about the patent system. If there was anything that should be repealed, it’s definitely that part of the Constitution. But it is an open lesson into creative abuse of any system. These guys give patents value… when 99% of them clearly have no value, even if they do work. Looks like they actually got into the electricity wasting business which “is” Bitcoin mining. Why are they using coal in Montana? Has all the water in the Columbia River Gorge already been wasted?

The company changed its name to Marathon Digital Holdings, effective March 1, 2021. Its chief executive officer is Fred Thiel.[7]

MD: Fred Thiel. Wonder if he’s any relation to Peter Thiel… the claimed co-inventor of PayPal with Elon Musk… a trivial application to write BTW. We’ll look into that. Here’s what Wikipedia has to say about Thiel (… and doesn’t seem to have anything to do with Peter Thiel).

Fred Thiel
Born1960
NationalityAmerican
OccupationBusinessman
Board member ofMarathon Digital Holdings
NoCell Technologies
Oden Technologies
Sequent Software
OptConnect Inc.
Gatekeeper Systems

Fred Thiel (born 1960) is an American business executive and the current CEO of Thiel Advisors and Marathon Digital Holdings.[1][2] Thiel is the former CEO of GameSpy, Local Corporation, and Lantronix.

MD: How’s that for some big names and strong background?

Thiel serves as past chairman of the board of the Young Presidents’ Organization‘s technology network and is chairman of the Fintech subnetwork. He also serves on the boards of several other companies including Oden Technologies, OptConnect, Gatekeeper Systems, and Sequent Software.

MD: Sequent Software: Finally something I’ve heard of.

Career

Thiel was vice president and general manager of the business storage unit of CMD Technology in 1997.[3] From 1998 to 2002 Thiel was the CEO of Lantronix,[4] where he doubled the company’s revenue growth and led to its initial public offering in 2000.[5] Thiel was the CEO of GameSpy from 2003 to 2004 before GameSpy merged with IGN.[6] Thiel was the managing partner of the software group at Triton Pacific Capital Partners from 2007 to 2012.[7]

Thiel met Heath Clark, founder and CEO of Local Corporation though the Young Presidents’ Organization,[5] and joined Local Corporation’s board of directors in January 2013.[8] He became the chairman of the board of Local Corporation in January 2014, and CEO in May 2014 following Clark’s resignation due to health reasons.[9] Thiel was CEO until 2015, and was responsible for Local Corporation’s partnership with FraudLogix to prevent advertising fraud.[10]

MD: Two years at Local. And into fraud. The plot thickens.

Thiel has headed Thiel Advisors, an advisory firm, since 2013.[11] Through Thiel Advisors, Thiel advises organizations such as EQT Partners and Graham Partners, their portfolio companies, and various mid-sized companies on value creation strategies. Thiel was appointed to the board of directors of Marathon Patent Group in April 2018[12] and became CEO of Marathon Digital Holdings in April 2021[13]

MD: “Value Creation Strategies”: Money “is” value creation. I’ll bet Thiel has no clue what money is. But look… we still have no clue about any value proposition yet. How can that be?

Education

Thiel attended classes at the Stockholm School of Economics and executive classes at Harvard Business School. Thiel is also fluent in English, Spanish, Swedish and French.[14] Thiel is a frequent speaker on digital trends, IT,[15] and the transformation of industries by the “internet of things“.[16][11]

MD: I took an executive class at MIT once. Didn’t know that was a big deal. Well, looks like another dead end. I wonder what ChatGPT knows about this?

MD: What can you tell me about Fred Thiel?

ChatGPT

As of my last update in September 2021, Fred Thiel is a business executive and entrepreneur. However, please note that my information might not be up to date, and developments may have occurred after my last update.

At the time of my knowledge cutoff, Fred Thiel was known for his involvement in the technology and cybersecurity sectors. He served as the CEO of various cybersecurity companies and had extensive experience in managing and advising technology-focused organizations.

If you are looking for more recent and accurate information about Fred Thiel, I recommend conducting an online search or checking reliable news sources for the latest updates.

MD: How about Marathon Digital HoldingsChatGPT

As of my last update in September 2021, Marathon Digital Holdings (formerly known as Marathon Patent Group) is a digital asset technology company focused on cryptocurrency mining. Please note that my information might be outdated, and developments may have occurred after my last update.

At that time, Marathon Digital Holdings was primarily engaged in mining Bitcoin and had been working to expand its mining operations. They aimed to leverage their expertise in blockchain technology and data center operations to become a significant player in the Bitcoin mining industry.

It’s important to remember that the cryptocurrency space is highly dynamic and can experience rapid changes. For the most current and accurate information about Marathon Digital Holdings, I recommend checking their official website, recent news articles, or financial reports.

MD: Well, we come up empty again. Let’s look further for something concrete. Well, they have a very pretty website. That’s usually a negative for me. Let’s dissect it.

https://www.mara.com/

MD: Looks like they’re well lawyered up. You need to acknowledge this disclaimer to see inside their website:

Marathon Digital Holdings (“Marathon,” “MARA”) does not offer financial services, nor direct investment opportunities to the general public. We have no consumer facing products or services. We will never ask you to send money or open an account. Please remain vigilant and be wary of bad actors who may be misappropriating our brand and corporate identity.

MD: What does it mean when the boogeyman cautions you to watch out for the boogeyman?

About Us

Marathon Digital Holdings is one of the largest, most energy efficient, and most technologically advanced Bitcoin mining companies, as well as one of the largest holders of Bitcoin (“BTC”) among publicly traded companies in North America.

We differentiate by investing in the most advanced technologies and leveraging innovative techniques to convert energy into economic value while helping keep Bitcoin’s ledger up to date and secure, one block at a time.

MD: How can they consider themselves energy efficient when Bitcoin is a “pure waste of energy”. A “real money process” costs virtually nothing to operate. There is no mining involved. Good thing they’re doing it one block at a time… cause that’s how blockchain (or even chains without blocks) works.

Operations

Bitcoin is decentralized, and so are we. We use various strategies and business models, including outsourcing to third-party hosting providers or hosting our own operations, to maintain a diversified portfolio of Bitcoin mining sites in multiple states and countries.

MD: Wow… how innovative. These days with so many server farms out there this is pretty easy to do.

Investors

Marathon Digital Holdings is a publicly traded company (NASDAQ: MARA). Our investor relations website includes detailed information on our financial performance, our latest corporate updates, SEC filings, and more.

MD: Has anyone ever seen one of these “investor” thingies? We’ll go a little further and then see if we can find their annual report and dissect that.

Partner With Marathon

We work alongside companies, municipalities, and institutions that have stranded power, expertise in energy and microgrids, cutting edge Bitcoin mining technologies, and a keen interest in researching or supporting Bitcoin. We offer our partners access to our unique expertise in building and scaling Bitcoin mining operations as well as the opportunity to help support the Bitcoin network.

MD: “Stranded power”? That’s a new one. “Microgrids”? That’s another new one. “Keen interest in researching or supporting Bitcoin”? Why is that?

OK, so that’s their shingle. Let’s go in. They call it “Getting started”. They’ve got five more bullet points. I’ll scan them, but I think my assignment is to look at their annual report… so I need to move along

Funding & Mentorship

We support builders. We invest in smart people, who are passionate about leveraging technology to solve Bitcoin’s and the Bitcoin mining industry’s largest problem.

MD: Whoops. That eliminates me!

Company Profile

Marathon Digital Holdings (NASDAQ: MARA) is one of the largest, most agile, and most sustainably operated Bitcoin miners in North America. The company converts energy into economic value by processing Bitcoin transactions, creating newly minted Bitcoin (“BTC”), and keeping Bitcoin’s distributed ledger up to date and secure.

MD: Address is now in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida, not Las Vegas. Most Florida cons are operated over on the Tampa/St. Pete side. They say they process Bitcoin transactions. That means they know how to add and subtract. They create new Bitcoins (waste energy) and they keep Bitcoin’s distributed ledger up to date and secure (now that’s huge, because the whole Bitcoin concept says nobody can do that… because everybody does that. It’s kind of like the internet DNS). Before we look at their financials, we’ll look at the operations… it’s good to know what somebody claims to do.

Diversified Portfolio Approach to Bitcoin Mining

Each Bitcoin mining deployment comes with its own set of constraints, and each requires a curated approach. We adapt accordingly. Overtime, we have used different strategies and structures to build a portfolio of Bitcoin mining operations that is designed to diversify risk across our organization.

MD: Says they crank out 23 EH/s. Anybody know what an EH is? We’re about to find out. Poor Google. It thinks it’s about “Environment Health and Safety”. But gotta love ChatGPT. Here’s what she says:

In the context of Bitcoin, EH/s stands for “exahashes per second.” It is a unit used to measure the total combined computing power of the Bitcoin network, specifically in terms of how many cryptographic calculations (hashes) it can perform in one second.

Bitcoin mining is the process by which new transactions are added to the blockchain and new bitcoins are created. It involves solving complex mathematical puzzles, known as cryptographic hash functions, which require significant computational power. Miners compete to find the correct solution to the puzzle, and the first one to do so gets to add a new block to the blockchain and is rewarded with newly minted bitcoins and transaction fees.

The network’s total hash rate is the sum of all the miners’ computing power, and it is measured in EH/s. As technology advances and more powerful mining hardware is introduced, the total hash rate of the Bitcoin network increases. A higher hash rate implies a more secure and robust network, as it becomes increasingly difficult for any single entity or group to control the majority of the network’s computing power (known as a 51% attack).

MD: For those of you who aren’t into the really big numbers game, an exa is a quadrillion gigas. If you started right now, you probably wouldn’t be there by lunch tomorrow.
ChatGPT does pretty good, don’t you think? It’s not intelligent at all, but it sure has a good memory. MARA enumerates 6 sites where they do this wasting… and that is among “others”. It seems they are concerned with somebody getting more that 51% of the hashes. Trust me folks, you can’t waste enough energy in the whole universe… and all its black and grey and pink holes… to do that. I guess we know enough. We can now see how much money they claim to be making.

MD: I have obtained their earnings report dated May , 2023. Anybody can find their numbers. Here’s them applying creativity:

Q1, we grew our energized hash rate 64% from 7.0 exahashes to 11.5 exahashes. By
growing our hash rate faster than the rest of the network and improving our uptime, we also increased our bitcoin production. We produced a record 2,195 bitcoin during the first three months of this year, which is a 74% increase from the prior year.

MD: If they’re growing at 74% a year they’re doing better than the banking scam. The bank scam grows at just 40% a year. But I don’t think that’s fast enough to corner the Bitcoin market. They either have to quietly do that, or be among the first to bail out… and looks like they’ll have lots of bailing to do.

“In addition to our energized progress, we also improved our financial position during the quarter. We increased our cash position by $12 million, reduced our debt by $50 million, and increased our unrestricted bitcoin holdings by 3,132 bitcoin after we prepaid our term loan and terminated our credit facilities with Silvergate Bank.

MD: What in the world is an “unrestricted bitcoin holding?”. Who’s restricting? Takes these financial thieves almost no time at all to make something simple ridiculously complicated.

We exited the quarter with approximately $124.9 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and 11,466 bitcoin, the market value of which was approximately $326.5 million on March 31.

MD: If Bitcoin is such magic, why in the world would they have cash and cash equivalents? Buy Bitcoin with it… mui pronto.

“With more hash rate coming online in the months ahead, Marathon remains on track to
reach our 23 exahash goal near the middle of this year. We remain optimistic that we can
achieve our primary growth targets and establish Marathon as one of the largest, most
energy efficient, and most technologically advanced Bitcoin mining operations globally.

MD: I asked ChatGPT who generates the most EH/s.

ChatGPT:

As mentioned earlier, the distribution of mining power in the Bitcoin network can change over time due to various factors. Some of the largest and most well-known mining pools in the past have been companies like Antpool, F2Pool, BTC.com, and Poolin. However, it’s important to note that the mining landscape is dynamic, and other pools or entities could have risen to prominence since my last knowledge update in September 2021.

To find the current information on the entities generating the greatest number of EH/s or the distribution of hash rate in the Bitcoin network, you can refer to real-time data provided by reputable sources that track the mining pools and hash rate distribution. Websites like Blockchain.com, BTC.com, and other blockchain explorers often provide such data. Additionally, specialized cryptocurrency news websites and forums might have updated information on this topic.

MD: Let’s see what Blockchain.com can tell us. It appears the current hash rate is 332.95 EH/s (https://www.coinwarz.com/mining/bitcoin/hashrate-chart). That’s more than 10 times MARA’s goal. I groped around a little while to see who the other big players were. I didn’t find what I was looking for… and of course I’m not interested in wasting more time on the subject. Would I invest in MARA? Stupid is as stupid does. I could have bought Bitcoin at $0.10. Instead I tried to explain to Andreson why it wasn’t, and never would be, money. Now he’s a gizzionaire… and I’m high, dry, looking for a ball player at the carnival.

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Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) Rise 4.64%, Now What? Don’t Panic

https://stocksregister.com/2023/07/20/marathon-digital-holdings-inc-nasdaq-mara-rise-4-64-now-what-dont-panic/
MD: This is the link to this annotated article: Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. Rise 4.64%, Now What? Don’t Panic.

Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) Rise 4.64%, Now What? Don’t Panic

MD: My brother is a brilliant investor (i.e. gambler). He called to inform me about MARA. Let’s see what we think.

Charles Durham July 20, 2023

Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA) price on Wednesday, July 19, rose 4.64% above its previous day’s close as an upside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $17.59.

MD: I presume we’re supposed to know about MARA already (i.e. COIK: Clear Only If Known). Let’s see how far we can get before we have to do our homework. Reaching into my pocket I have the $0.59. The $17 may be more problematic.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $16.81. Turning to its 52-week performance, $19.88 and $3.11 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, MARA moved 76.25% over the past month.

MD: I’m one of those gamblers that buys at $19.88 and sells at $3.11. I quit gambling long ago. Before I quit I even started betting against myself. I was still always wrong. Go figure.

Top 5 AI Stocks to Buy for 2023

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is already here. And it’s about to change everything we know about everything. According to Grand View Research, the global AI boom could grow from about $137 billion in 2022 to more than $1.81 trillion by 2030. And investors like you always want to get in on the hottest stocks of tomorrow. Here are five of the best ways to profit from the AI boom.

MD: Just like with money, everybody seems to be clueless about AI. You don’t get smart by contemplating your navel… or contemplating everybody else’s navel. They should call it AS… Artificial Stupidity. And there is more than enough RS (real stupidity) to go around.

Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.’s market cap currently stands at around $2.99 billion.

MD: Let’s see. $2.99B divided by $17.59… That means they’ve divided this fiction into 170 million pieces. Likely they’ve kept 50 million for themselves for which they paid nothing. And found other suckers to buy into their get rich scheme to the total tune of 120 million pieces. What’s not to love about leverage when it comes to finance.

Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.02, which has seen fiscal year 2023 EPS growth forecast to increase to $0.14 and about $0.49 for fiscal year 2024. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be 104.50% for 2023 and 250.00% for the next financial year.

MD: Wow. The power of big numbers. Earning 2 cents a share… but times 120M shares, we’re talking real money… who said that, Everette Dirkson? And there are people out there that think “regulation” is the antidote for this, right? Wrong! It’s the enabler.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $92.65 million for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $78.29 million and $111.2 million respectively. The average forecast suggests up to a 271.80% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2023 to grow to $431.33 million, representing a 266.30% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

MD: It’s amazing we can be this far into this article and still be clueless about the “value proposition”. I guess everybody reading this already knows what’s going on here. We’re probably too dumb to be even reading this… let alone getting in on the game.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was no upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that MARA is a 100% Buy. On the other hand, the stock is on average a 100% Buy as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Buy category.

MD: A 100% Buy. What could possibly go wrong? We’ll reserve comment until we get to something of substance, ok?

6 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 3 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 3 recommend MARA as a Buy and 0 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 0 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 0 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Overweight which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

MARA’s current price about 17.67% and 50.35% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 65.45, while 7-day volatility ratio is 9.73% and 10.73% in the 30-day chart. Further, Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (MARA) has a beta value of 5.04, and an average true range (ATR) of 1.40. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $13.10, forecast between a low of $7.98 and high of $20.00. Looking at the price targets, the low is 54.63% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -13.7%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a 23.25% jump to $13.50 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (MARA) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably stronger. Data shows MARA’s intraday price has changed 4.64% in last session and 80.23% over the past year. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are up 0.24% and 0.31% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 49.88 million over the past 10 days and 40.28 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 169.97 million shares.

The 0.20% of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 37.50% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 42.15 million on Jun 29, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 0.92. The data shows that as of Jun 29, 2023 short interest in Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (MARA) stood at 24.80% of shares outstanding, with shares short falling to 43.09 million registered in May 30, 2023. Current price change has pushed the stock 414.33% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the MARA stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.

MD: Nope! We still have no clue what they do. Looks like we’ll have to find another article. This may not publish.

If The Fed Starts A Digital Currency, It Had Better Guarantee Privacy

If The Fed Starts A Digital Currency, It Had Better Guarantee Privacy
Tyler Durden’s Photo
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Apr 05, 2022 – 08:00 PM

MD: As always, Money Delusions will use the true definition of “real” money to annotate this article. The article appear in ZeroHedge.com as “If the Fed Starts A Digital Currency, It Had Better Guarantee Privacy”. And the title itself reveals confusion about what money is…and what its characteristics are. This begins by knowing what money is (i.e “an in-process promise to complete a trade over time and space”); how money is created (i.e. transparently in plain view by traders like you and me); how money is destroyed (i.e. also transparently by the trader delivering as promised); what happens if the trader “defaults” (i.e. “interest” of like amount is immediately collected); and how money trades in the interim (i.e. anonymously as any other object of simple-barter-exchange). Let’s get started:

Authored by By Andrew M. Bailey & William J. Luther via RealClearPolicy.com,

President Biden’s latest executive order calls for extensive research on digital assets and may usher in a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC), eventually allowing individuals to maintain accounts with the Federal Reserve. Other central banks are already on the job. The People’s Bank of China began piloting a digital renminbi in April 2021. India’s Reserve Bank intends to launch a digital rupee as early as this year.

MD: They immediately exhibit that they don’t know what money is. “Banks” have nothing to do with “real” money at all. It is the most obvious corruption of real money. And “digital” is just one of many forms of money.

Most commonly, money is just an entry in a ledger. In some cases it is in the form of coins and currency…both carefully designed to resist counterfeiting. In some cases it is in the form of a check (i.e. against a demand deposit). And we already have a fairly digital form of money in “debit cards”…a link to your ledger records that you carry in your purse. “Credit cards” are not an example of money. Rather, they are an example of “money creation”.

When you charge something on a credit card, “you” are creating money…a promise to complete a trade over time and space. When you use a “debit card” you are merely submitting proof that you hold some previously created money.

A CBDC may upgrade the physical cash the Federal Reserve already issues – but only if its designers appreciate the value of financial privacy.

Cash is a 7th century technology, with obvious drawbacks today. It pays no interest, is less secure than a bank deposit, and is difficult to insure against loss or theft. It is unwieldy for large transactions, and also requires those transacting to be at the same place at the same time — a big problem in an increasingly digital world.

MD: And before cash we had the tally stick…which claims to be the best implementation of money. And tally sticks were “real” money. They represented a promise to complete a trade over time and space. They worked better than gold. In fact, they could claim any kind of “backing” the trader’s agreed to (e.g. pork bellies). But nobody “traded” tally sticks. Thus, in that respect they weren’t money at all. They really were close to “crypto” in that respect…but much cheaper to create. You could create a tally stick with a twig and a knife. Today’s crypto requires insane amounts of electricity waste to create. They call it “proof of work”…which of course is nonsense.

Nonetheless, cash remains popular. Circulating U.S. currency exceeded $2.2 trillion in January 2022, more than doubling over the last decade. The inflation-adjusted value of circulating notes grew more than 5.5 percent per year over the period. And U.S. consumers used cash in 19 percent of transactions in 2020.

MD: Actually, the money changers are revealing the imminent collapse of cash. They hold lots of cash (counterfeited by government) and are doing everything they can to exchange it for real “property”. I get a dozen calls a day from “so-called investors” who want to “buy” my property. It’s a game of musical chairs. They don’t want to holding it when the “reset” comes as they know it will be instantly worthless. And also note, with “real” money, inflation is perpetually zero. No adjusted valuation is ever necessary.

Why is cash so popular, despite its drawbacks? Cash is easy to use. There are no bank or merchant terminal fees associated with cash. And, most importantly, it offers more financial privacy than the available alternatives.

MD: In actuality, cash is “not” easy to use. You almost never see it being used…even in restaurants and bars. I use it in bars just to keep score. I take a certain amount of cash, which when I’ve used it up I know I’m about to have had too much to drink. I spend lots of time explaining to other patrons why I can’t let them buy me a beer.

When you use cash, no one other than the recipient needs to know. Unlike a check or debit card transaction, there’s no bank recording how you spend your money. You can donate to a political or religious cause, buy controversial books or magazines, or secure medicine or medical treatment without much concern that governments, corporations, or snoopy neighbors will ever find out.

MD: With a “real” money implementation, there is no need for banks to be involved. All that is necessary is a “block chain” like implementation that resists the “three general problem” and counterfeiting. And when properly implemented, the “block chain” implementation is cost free. It has no use for “proof of work”. It “knows” it’s keeping track of performance on promises.

Privacy means you get to decide whether to disclose the intimate details of your life. Some will happily share. That is their choice. But others will prefer to keep those details private.

MD: But keep in mind, while “real” money used in trade is “always anonymous”, it’s creation is always “open and transparent”. Awareness of this distinction is crucial.

In a digital world, personal information can spread far and wide. And it can be used to exclude or exploit people on the margins. The choice about what information to share is important. For some, flourishing depends on carefully choosing how much others know about their politics, religion, relationships, or medical conditions.

Financial privacy matters just as much as privacy in other areas. What we do reveals much more about who we are than what we say. And what we do often requires spending money. In many cases, meaningful privacy requires financial privacy.

MD: Again, keep in mind that money is only concerned with the problem of “counterfeiting”. It cares not at all who is using it and for what. But people using it must know and expect it is genuine…i.e. not counterfeited. And of course we all know the principal counterfeiters of money are governments. For a “real” money process to exist, it’s operation must be transparent and impervious to any attempts to control or to counterfeit it. It is simply about record keeping.

Privacy also operationalizes the presumption of innocence and promotes due process. You are not obliged to testify against yourself. If law enforcement believes you have done something unlawful, they must convince a judge to issue a warrant before rifling through your things. Likewise, financial privacy prevents authorities from monitoring your transactions without authorization.

MD: Law doesn’t apply to a “real” money process. But open communication and mitigation is crucial. Again, it’s about making counterfeiting impossible. And when detected it must reveal who did the counterfeiting; see that the counterfeiting doesn’t happen again; and treat the counterfeiting for what it is… a “default”. And thus it immediately mitigates it with “interest” collection of like amount. This must be totally transparent…so the marketplace can ostracize the perps. Who pays the interest? Other irresponsible traders.

The recent executive order, to the administration’s credit, notes that a CBDC should “maintain privacy; and shield against arbitrary or unlawful surveillance, which can contribute to human rights abuses.” But a reasonable person might worry that the government is paying lip service to privacy concerns.

MD: A principle “axiom” must be observed at all times. If you are considering a government solution to any problem, you are still looking for a solution. Government is “never” the solution to any problem. It is just a magnifier of the problem.

A recent paper from the Fed, offered as “the first step in a public discussion” about CBDCs, suggests the central bank has no interest in guaranteeing privacy at the design stage. Instead, it maintains that a “CBDC would need to strike an appropriate balance […] between safeguarding the privacy rights of consumers and affording the transparency necessary to deter criminal activity.” The Fed then solicits comments on how a CBDC might “provide privacy to consumers without providing complete anonymity,” which it seems to equate with “facilitating illicit financial activity.” A U.S. CBDC, in other words, will likely offer much less privacy than cash.

MD: No central entity (especially a central bank) is ever involved in a “real” money process. Rather, it is the “process” that is the entity. As such, the process is universally used and totally transparent to all traders at all times.

We do not deny that financial privacy benefits criminals and tax cheats. Such claims tend to be exaggerated, though. In reality, it is a small price to pay for civil liberty. That due process applies to everyone — criminals included — is no reason to scrap the Fourth or Fifth Amendments.

MD: Taxes implies government…so it is a non-starter. If government participation was ever a valid option, it would be the “only” viable option. You would pay taxes (and only taxes) for everything. Your gasoline, your groceries, your clothing…all would be free. You would just pay tax and it would be covered out of that. Some people call this communism. Some call it insurance. It’s all nonsense.

Policymakers may be tempted to compromise on financial privacy when implementing a CBDC. Instead, they should attempt to replicate the privacy afforded by cash. Like non-alcoholic beer, the Fed’s “digital form of paper money” would superficially resemble the real McCoy while lacking its defining feature.

MD: Policy is the the marker here. No process is every properly governed by policy. The closest we should ever come to adopting policy is the “golden rule”. Policy is different from process. Money is a “process”. It cares nothing about policies like full employment and setting inflation at 2% (while continuously failing by a factor of 2).

About Trust and Agents Incentives (hadriencroubois.com)

MD: Reply to Hadrien Croubois article “About Trust and Agents Incentives”
HC: Hadrien Croubois
https://hadriencroubois.com
Oct 11, 2017
PoCo Series #1 — About Trust and Agents Incentives
Who am I?
My name is Hadrien Croubois and I am a Ph.D. student at ENS de Lyon. My research as a Ph.D. student focuses on middleware design for the management of shared Cloud-based scientific-computing platforms; and more particularly how to optimise them for workflow execution.

MD: Why in the world should “cloud-based” systems even exist?

HC: However, my interests are much broader and include HPC, physics, and biology large-scale simulations, image rendering, machine learning and of course cryptography and blockchain technologies.

Since September 2017 I am also a scientific consultant for iExec. I met Gilles at ENS de Lyon and it was the perfect opportunity for me to experience working in a team designing innovative solutions.

My role as a member of this team is to study existing work from the research community and provide insight into the design of a proof-of-contribution protocol for iExec. This article is by no means a solution to this complex issue. It is rather an overview of our understanding and ideas regarding this issue.
Why iExec needs Proof-of-Contribution?

The iExec platform provides a network where application provider, workers, and users can gather and work together. Trust between these agents is to be achieved through the use of blockchain technology (Nakamoto consensus) and cryptography.

MD: COIK (Clear Only If Known). The key here is how Nakamoto establishes consensus. You really can’t know from reading the white paper that got all this started. In short, it comes down to “democracy” … i.e majority rules. In this case, over 1/2 the population. Anyone who has looked into democracy knows it cannot work with more than 50 parties involved.

HC: Our infrastructure is divided into 3 agents:

Application providers: They provide applications, which are seen as services.

MD: How do “application providers” originate?

HC: These applications can be called by the users with specific parameters. Application providers are paid for each execution of their application.

MD: Who pays the application providers. Almost the entire Android community of applications are provided at no cost whatever.

HC: The applications rely on the iExec smart contract to manage communications between the ethereum blockchain and the off-chain computing platform.

MD: COIK … what is a “smart” contract? Is it transparent? Who can see it? Who cannot?

HC: Users: They are the clients of the infrastructure. They pay to obtains results computed by the application.

MD: Seems like a non-competitive model. Take the internet itself. It is an infrastructure with no clients and no providers … or better yet, where everyone is both a client and provider. What problem is being solved here?

HC: Workers: They are computing entities that provide computing resources. These resources are used for the off-chain execution of the applications. Workers are paid based on their contribution to the computation of the applications.

MD: Again COIK. Why would workers be just “computing resources?” Seems like (reading way between the lines here) anyone being a source, or an opposition to a source, of information is a worker.

HC: The goal of the Proof-of-Contribution protocol is to achieve trust between the different agents, and more particularly between users and workers, in order for the users to be able to rely on the results computed by an external actor whose incentive is, at best, based on income.

MD: I once sat in a meeting where they made the rule that you had to say 5 nice things before you could say 1 thing critical. Want to guess how that meeting went?

HC: In particular, we want to achieve protection against Byzantine workers (who could provide bad results to penalize users) and users (who could argue against legitimate work performed by legitimate workers).

MD: Right. In sports we call those referees. But in real sports, the contestants referee themselves. We lose it when we establish rules and laws. What we really have is principles … and very few of them, the “golden principle” being paramount. Rules and laws just dilute principles. They essentially say, by defining this particular instance of the application of the principle, we declare all other applications unlawful … and thus have to define all particular instances in law after that … and thus totally lose sight of the principle. It’s called “gaming the system”.

HC: First approach: the result contribution validation scheme

Validation of the work performed by the worker can be achieved in two different ways:

Majority voting on the (hash of the) result.

MD: Like the long list of scientists who “vote” that global warming is real … when almost none of them are meteorologists or have the slightest clue of things physical?

HC: This helps mitigate against Byzantine workers but at the price of computing power overhead. Validating the result for a specific execution requires multiple workers to compute it, thus multiplying the execution cost by a factor m. In desktop grid or volunteer computing platforms (BOINC), this factor m can range from 3 all the way to 20~50. With more replication come more confidence in the result, but that also means that the reward is shared among more worker, reducing the incentive to the workers to contribute.

MD: Have you thought of a hierarchical structure to get around the fact that democracy doesn’t work with more than 50 people involved? The solution is to have each group of 50 solving the problems they can solve. They select a representative for the next lower group of 50 … and so on until you get to the final group of 50. Nothing should make it down to the bottom group of 50 and if it does, that group should come to a unanimous conclusion (establishing the principle) … not a majority conclusion. With this structure you can “democratically” represent the entire population on earth in just 6 layers of 50 person groups.

HC: Relying on a court system to solve conflicts between users and workers (TrueBit). This solution is however complicated both in terms of efforts from the users, who have to check every single result and from the platform which has to implement complex arbitration mechanisms. While this method does not require the work to be executed many times, the arbitration mechanism might call for heavy instrumentation of the execution in order for the worker to provide elements of proof if their execution is challenged.

MD: Better to make users and workers show where what they are doing “is” principled when challenged. Then let a small democratic group judge their “principled” defense … i.e. would they really want to be treated the way they are treating?

HC: A significant contribution was published by Luis Sarmenta (2002. Sabotage-tolerance mechanisms for volunteer computing systems. Future Generation Computer Systems, 18(4), 561–572). The proposed approach is based on majority voting but rather than relying on a fixed m factor, it dynamically “decides” how many contributions are necessary to achieve consensus (within a specific confidence level). The replication level is therefore dynamic and automatically adapted, during execution, by the scheduler. This helps to achieve fast consensus when possible and to solve any conflicts.

MD: Did it ever occur to you that if we had computers before we had internal combustion engines and the subsequent invention of governors that we couldn’t even mow our lawns today? The mower would become too complicated to use … and enormously unreliable … in spite of the enormous computing power that is thrown at the problem.

HC: Fig 3 from Sarmenta’s paper, describing how workers contribute to different jobs by voting on the result.

This approach relies on worker reputation to limit the potential impact of Byzantine agents and to achieve consensus.

MD: Did you read the global warming emails. You see how workers reputations are easily co-opted … how the best of systems are easily gamed by gangsters.

HC: Yet this approach is designed for desktop grid infrastructures, where money is out of the equation. Using the financial incentive of the different actors, we can modify and improve their approach to better fit our context:

Each worker retribution for computing a task can be indexed on their impact on the consensus for this task. In addition, having a good reputation helps to achieve fast consensus with fewer agents (meaning a bigger share for each agent). This gives the workers a financial incentive to act well and have their reputation go up.

MD: Do you think Digital Research would have won out over the deficient Microsoft if your rules were in place? Do you think Borland would still exist?

HC: Workers are required to commit a security deposit (stake) which is seized in case of bad behavior. This gives the worker an additional financial incentive to behave correctly.

MD: And the process for “seizure” is???

HC: The main drawback of Sarmenta’s article is the assumption that Byzantine workers are not working together and do not coordinate their attacks. While this assumption does not hold in our context, we believe we can still achieve it by selecting workers randomly among the worker pool. Therefore Byzantine workers controlled by a single entity should statistically be dispatched on many different tasks and should therefore not be able to overtake the vote for a specific task.

MD: I created a computer language (see WithGLEE.com). As I was creating it I was basking in the environment where “I” made all the decisions. I had no inertia to keep me from abandoning a bad tact, reversing it, and taking another tact. In the end I was delighted with the result. But all the time, the camel that is the collection of internet process (e.g. Java, JavaScript, Python, … etc.) won out, because though they were all deficient as horses, they had a constituency as a camel (a horse designed by committee). Python is the most obvious. You don’t use visual structure as a programming element.

HC: Adapting Sarmenta’s result certification mechanism to off-chain execution

While Sarmenta’s work is interesting, a few modifications are required to work in our context. In this section, we discuss preliminary ideas on how we believe this work could be adapted to iExec needs. Our idea is to orchestrate the exchanges between the users and the workers as described below.

MD: You better find a different word than “orchestrate” if you want to establish trust. Global warming is a perfect example of “orchestration”. Climate change is a perfect example of “orchestration soiling its own nest and having to change its feathers”.

HC: In addition to the users and workers, we have an additional component: the scheduler. Schedulers manage pools of worker and act as middlemen between the blockchain (listening to the iExec smart-contract) and the workers. A scheduler can, in fact, be composed of multiple programs which complementary features but we will here consider it as a single “virtual” entity.

MD: Right. Always leave openings for large numbers of regulators and bureaucrats. Did it ever occur to you that a full 3/4ths of the fruits of your labor go to government? Really bright people, when given the task of maintaining a broom in upright position, would create an enormously complicated platform using all kinds of sensors and PID controllers. Any maid would just suspend it from the top and rely on it’s naturally stable tendencies.

HC: One should notice that our discussion here does not deal with the scheduling algorithm itself. In a scheduler, the scheduling algorithm handles the logic responsible for the placement of jobs and handles execution errors. The scheduler is free to use any scheduling algorithm it desires as long as it can deal with step 3 and 5 of the following protocol.

MD: Ah yes … and to change it dynamically and often to suit conflicting whims. Ask Facebook how that’s working as they bend to demands to filter out fake news … when all they really are is a medium of communication and the content should be none of their business or responsibility. The gangsters are trying to do the same thing to the internet. Their ox is being gored badly … and what could be better than to gore their ox out of existence?

HC: Workers register themselves to a scheduler.

MD: I’m not going to comment further. This is a perfect example of the condition: “losing sight of our objective we redouble our efforts”. It’s also an example of “if I am a hammer, everything looks like a nail”. It’s also an example of “the first and best solution to every issue is government and regulation”.
Read on at your own risk!

HC: Users submit tasks to scheduler managing the work pool they chose.
Workers ask the scheduler for work to execute. The scheduler gives them tasks to be executed. Note: If we are coming from step 5 we should not ask a worker to compute a task it has already contributed to.
The worker computes the result (A) of the task. In order for this result to be validated, the platform has to achieve a consensus on this result. This is achieved through Sarmenta’s voting. In order to contribute to this consensus, the worker commits the result to the scheduler:
a. Generate and memorize (but not publish) a random value r (private disposable personal identifier).
b. Submit a transaction (contribution) with :
i. hash(A) → used to vote on an answer;
ii. hash(r) → used as a public disposable personal identifier;
iii. hash(A+r) → used as proof of knowledge of A;
iv. commitment fund (with a minimum value) → incentive to only commit good results (see later). A higher commitment fund increases the Cr (cf Sarmenta, L.F.) and thus increases the potential returns (see later);
v. A tamper-proof timestamp → Used by the worker to prove its contribution and claim its reward.
With each new vote (contribution) by the workers, the scheduler checks if an answer (hash(A)) achieves the expected likelihood threshold using Sarmenta’s voting.
a. If we do not have a consensus, the scheduler will ask more nodes to compute the same task (dynamic replication) and contribute to the consensus → go back to 3;
b. If we have a consensus continue to 6.
An answer has been selected. The scheduler can now:
a. Publish the elected hash(A). At this point no new contribution is possible.
b. Ask the winning workers for A and r. Having a value of r which matched a correct transaction dating from before the election result is a proof of contribution. At this point A can be published by any worker. The value for r shows that a worker knew the answer they voted for before the results of the election. That way they cannot claim a contribution by just submitting a transaction with the hash(A) published by other voters.
c. Check the correctness of each worker contribution.
d. Put the deposit fund (stake) of all workers who voted for another answer in the reward kitty.
e. Distribute the reward kitty (users payment + deposit fund from wrong workers) among the winning workers proportionally to their contribution (Cr value computed from the reputation and the funds committed to the vote). The scheduler may take a commission for its work.
f. Increase the reputation of winners, decrease (reset) the reputation of losers.
g. Send the, now validated, answer to the user.

Equations used by Sarmenta to compute the credibility of a result from the credibility of the voters.
Trust level, worker pools, and billing policy

Sarmenta’s voting helps to achieve the given level of confidence using worker reputation and dynamic replication. This confidence level is defined by a value ε which describes the acceptable error margin. Results should only be returned if a confidence level higher than 1-ε is achieved. This value is a balance between cost and trust. A lower ε means more confidence in the result, but also requires more reputation/contributions to achieve consensus, and therefore more work to be performed. While this value could be defined by the user for each task, they might not know how to set it and it might cause billing issues.

We believe this value should be fixed for a worker pool. Therefore the billing policy could be defined for a worker pool depending on the performance of the workers (speed) and the ε value used by this worker pool scheduler (level of confidence). The user would then be free to choose between worker pools. Some worker pools might only contain large nodes running technology like Intel SGX to achieve fast result with low replication. Other worker pools could contain (slower) desktop computers and have their consensus settings adapted to this context.

With consensus managed by the scheduler and financial opportunities for late voters provided by the security deposit of opposing voters, the users should not worry about anything. Users pay for a task to be executed on a pool of worker, regardless of the number of workers that end up involved in the consensus. If consensus is fast and easy the payment of the user is enough to retribute the few workers who took part in the vote. If the consensus is hard and requires a lot of contributions, the workers are retributed using the security deposit of losing voters. This gives the workers a financial incentive to contribute to a consensus with many voters without requiring the user to pay more.

In the current version of this work, the protocol is such as the user has no part in the consensus. Payments are done when submitting the task and no stake is required. Results are public and guaranteed by the consensus. Users can therefore not discuss a result.
Assumptions and agents incentives

We believe the protocol described previously to be secure providing a few assumptions are met :

The first strong assumption is the ability of workers to publish their transaction (contribution) in a public manner. The medium used to publish those contributions has to provide a secure way for anyone to verify that contribution have been done prior to the election results. This can simply be achieved using current blockchain technology such as ethereum smart contracts. Still, that should not prevent us from considering other approaches like DHT (distributed hash tables).
The second assumption is that the voting algorithm will, in fact, give good results. This assumption is equivalent to saying that 51% of the reputation (of a worker pool) is not controlled by a single malicious user. We believe this is not a flaw of the protocol for two reasons:
a. All voting based systems, including the Nakamoto protocol, are subject to such attacks. This flaw is not in the design of the protocol.
b. There are strong (financial) penalties for bad actions on the platform and spot checking can be enforced to give more power to the scheduler and help them deal with bad actors. It is a matter of balance between the scheduler and the workers to enable spot-checking or not. We can imagine multiple worker pools, run by different independent schedulers which specific policy. Ultimately those pools could compete to attract the users (with elements such as the achieved quality of results and pricing).

Finally, we believe that both scheduler and workers will be inclined to work correctly in order to provide a good service to the users and benefit from the iExec ecosystem. Having 51% of the reputation controlled by actors wanting to do things right and benefit from it should not be an issue.

Incentives for the different agents are as follows

Users: They are requesting work to be done, and money in a healthy system would only come from them. User incentive to use the platform is to obtain good results for a low price. This will lead them to create a competition between worker pools. Their ability to chose or boycott worker pools create an incentive for workers and schedulers to work together in order to achieve the best service possible and attract users.
Workers: Their incentive is to gain as much money as possible for their work. To maximize their gain, they should maximize their contribution. Contribution can be obtained by having a good history (reputation) and/or by committing more funds when submitting a contribution. Giving bad results would make them lose both funds and reputation, which they should avoid at all cost.
a. New actors, with no history, start with a low reputation, meaning they will weigh less in the vote. Their chance to overtake a vote against trusted workers is small, and it would be a waste of fund from an attacker.
b. An old actor with a good history can win a lot by using their reputation to perform computations. As they are trusted, fewer contributions are needed to settle a vote and the reward kitty is therefore shared among fewer agents. On the other hand, by submitting bad results they risk losing all their reputation (and the money they committed with the contribution). Reputation does not guarantee them to win votes and spot-checking can help to detect bad contributors with high reputation.
Scheduler: Their incentive is to gain money by helping coordinate the platform. They make money through:
a. Commissions on all transactions;
b. Unclaimed rewards: if a worker doesn’t claim the reward after a contribution the corresponding fund would be kept by the scheduler.

In order to make money, the scheduler requires users to submit jobs and workers to register in its worker pool. This gives him the incentive to manage the worker pool correctly and grow strong.
Public schedulers for a fully decentralized platform

One of the key elements that could ultimately help a scheduler getting bigger and attracting more workers and users is to be open about its decisions. We believe that a scheduler could rely on a blockchain mechanism to orchestrate the protocol described above. In fact, this protocol is designed so that every message can, and should, be public. Security is achieved using cryptography. In particular, the use of a blockchain solves the issue of proving a contribution existence (presence on the blockchain) and validity (precedence to the vote results).

The main issue that still has to be solved is the worker designations. At step 3, the scheduler submits the task to specific workers. This is important for two reasons:

We don’t want workers to race. This would favor fast nodes and one could attack the voting system by coordinating many fast nodes to take over the vote before other nodes can contribute.

We don’t want malicious nodes to take over some votes. By randomly assigning workers to jobs we distribute malicious nodes amongst many votes where they would not be able to take over and where their best play is to provide good results and benefit from the platform working correctly.

Such a mechanism requires a source of randomness which any observers of the blockchain can agree on. This problem is beyond the scope of this post. Having such a source of entropy could help the scheduler designate workers using a random yet verifiable algorithm. The data required for verification would be public. The only change required to the protocol would be that a valid contribution from a worker would require a proof that the worker was designated by a scheduler.